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  #21 (permalink)  
Old 01-06-2007, 03:21 PM
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Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 264
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Sat nba +ncaafb + Sun nfl plays

Friday we went 1-1 in the nba for -.03 units. The cleveland under was an easy win but we couldnt overcome a 69 point first quarter in the washington game.

Today....2 nba plays, 1 previously posted ncaafb play and tomorrows nfl play.

Good luck

7:29am
6-Jan-07 5:05pm
6-Jan-07 Basketball
New Orleans Hornets (+8.5) -110

7:29am
6:05pm
6-Jan-07 Basketball
Denver Nuggets (+2) -107

7:30am
6-Jan-07 1:30pm
7-Jan-07 Football
Spread New York Giants (+7) -104

Previously posted ncaa fb play

26-Dec-06 9:00am
6-Jan-07 Football
Western Michigan (+7.5) or Game -102

RickJ
http://rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com/

Record to date:

mlb
Sides: 17- 14 +6.83
o/u 3-8-1 -5.09
ncaafb
Sides 35-27-1 +8.14
o/u 11-12 -1.63
nfl
Sides 25-9-1 +15.66
o/u 7-4 +2.83
nhl
sides 28-25 +8.31
Nba
Side 47-39-1 +6.46
o/u 18-10 +7.73

Oct: 132 bets + 11.63 units +8.81% Return
Nov: 105 bets + 25.19 units +24.0% Return
Dec: 94 bets + 1.99 units +2.11% Return
Jan: 14 bets + 8.26 units +59% Return
Total 345 Bets + 47.07 units +13.64% Return
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  #22 (permalink)  
Old 01-08-2007, 03:36 PM
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Posts: 264
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Monday nba plays

Sunday was a good day. We had 1 play and won it for +1.0 units. Giants was a win in the nfl +7.

Today a light schedule. Only play I can see is in the nba.....

Good Luck

7:54am
8-Jan-07 5:35pm
8-Jan-07 Basketball
Spread Houston Rockets (+6.5) -108

RickJ
http://rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com/


Record to date:

mlb
Sides: 17- 14 +6.83
o/u 3-8-1 -5.09
ncaafb
Sides 36-27-1 +9.14
o/u 11-12 -1.63
nfl
Sides 26-9-1 +16.66
o/u 7-4 +2.83
nhl
sides 28-25 +8.31
Nba
Side 48-40-1 +6.39
o/u 18-10 +7.73

Oct: 132 bets + 11.63 units +8.81% Return
Nov: 105 bets + 25.19 units +24.0% Return
Dec: 94 bets + 1.99 units +2.11% Return
Jan: 18 bets + 10.19 units +56.61% Return
Total 349 Bets + 49.00 units +14.04% Return
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  #23 (permalink)  
Old 01-09-2007, 02:13 PM
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Posts: 264
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Tuesdays nba plays

We had 1 play yesterday..and it won for +1 unit. Houston won outright as a bit dog in the nba.

Today a much bigger slate of games but only 1 nba play I can see.

We hit the 350 bet mark with a new high in units won...+50 and we are now at +14.28% return. This is far exceeding my expectations for uncovering inefficiencies in the lines.

Good Luck


6:39am
9-Jan-07 5:05pm
9-Jan-07 Basketball
Memphis Grizzlies (+3) -110

RickJ



Record to date:

mlb
Sides: 17- 14 +6.83
o/u 3-8-1 -5.09
ncaafb
Sides 36-27-1 +9.14
o/u 11-12 -1.63
nfl
Sides 26-9-1 +16.66
o/u 7-4 +2.83
nhl
sides 28-25 +8.31
Nba
Side 49-40-1 +7.39
o/u 18-10 +7.73

Oct: 132 bets + 11.63 units +8.81% Return
Nov: 105 bets + 25.19 units +24.0% Return
Dec: 94 bets + 1.99 units +2.11% Return
Jan: 19 bets + 11.19 units +58.89% Return
Total 350 Bets + 50.00 units +14.28% Return
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  #24 (permalink)  
Old 01-10-2007, 03:10 PM
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Posts: 264
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wedn Nba plays

Another good day Tues. We had Memphis +3 and they won by 10! So far this year things are looking good. Lets see if we can continue.

Two plays in the nba tonight

Good Luck


6:54am
10-Jan-07 4:05pm
10-Jan-07 Basketball
Spread New Orleans Hornets (+5.5) -110

7:36am
10-Jan-07 4:35pm
10-Jan-07 Basketball
Boston Celtics (+3) -107

RickJ

Record to date:

mlb
Sides: 17- 14 +6.83
o/u 3-8-1 -5.09
ncaafb
Sides 36-27-1 +9.14
o/u 11-12 -1.63
nfl
Sides 26-9-1 +16.66
o/u 7-4 +2.83
nhl
sides 28-25 +8.31
Nba
Side 50-40-1 +8.39
o/u 18-10 +7.73

Oct: 132 bets + 11.63 units +8.81% Return
Nov: 105 bets + 25.19 units +24.0% Return
Dec: 94 bets + 1.99 units +2.11% Return
Jan: 20 bets + 12.19 units +61.0% Return
Total 351 Bets + 51.00 units +14.53% Return
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  #25 (permalink)  
Old 01-12-2007, 02:32 PM
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Posts: 264
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friday nba plays

Thurs there were no plays. With pinnacle down I am going to post everything at -110. I am expecting this to cost anywhere from 1 to 2 percent in return . Its unfortunate and I am looking into a sports book with similar spreads as pinnacle right now and will know Monday.

In any event two plays in the nba today.

As of 6:21 pst

Boston +5.5 -110
Seattle +5 -110

Good Luck

Rickj


Record to date:

mlb
Sides: 17- 14 +6.83
o/u 3-8-1 -5.09
ncaafb
Sides 36-27-1 +9.14
o/u 11-12 -1.63
nfl
Sides 26-9-1 +16.66
o/u 7-4 +2.83
nhl
sides 28-25 +8.31
Nba
Side 51-41-1 +8.32
o/u 18-10 +7.73

Oct: 132 bets + 11.63 units +8.81% Return
Nov: 105 bets + 25.19 units +24.0% Return
Dec: 94 bets + 1.99 units +2.11% Return
Jan: 22 bets + 12.12 units +55.09% Return
Total 353 Bets + 50.93 units +14.45% Return
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  #26 (permalink)  
Old 01-13-2007, 02:12 PM
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Posts: 264
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sat nba plays

Friday was a 1-1 day for -.10 units. Boston really never threatened to cover but seattle won the game outright as a dog in overtime.

Today 2 more plays in the nba. I have looked over the nfl and cannot come up with any solid plays that I can see. So I am passing on the nfl this weekend.

Oh....I have done some research on other books...and it appears that cascade has -105 betting lines. Does anyone have any positive or negative experience with them? They are the only b+ or better rated book that I can see that has -105 lines.

Good Luck

Boston +14(btw...I hate this bet But..its a play)
Memphis +10

Lines as of 6:31 am pst

RickJ



Record to date:

mlb
Sides: 17- 14 +6.83
o/u 3-8-1 -5.09
ncaafb
Sides 36-27-1 +9.14
o/u 11-12 -1.63
nfl
Sides 26-9-1 +16.66
o/u 7-4 +2.83
nhl
sides 28-25 +8.31
Nba
Side 52-42-1 +8.22
o/u 18-10 +7.73

Oct: 132 bets + 11.63 units +8.81% Return
Nov: 105 bets + 25.19 units +24.0% Return
Dec: 94 bets + 1.99 units +2.11% Return
Jan: 24 bets + 12.02 units +50.08% Return
Total 355 Bets + 50.83 units +14.32% Return
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  #27 (permalink)  
Old 01-15-2007, 02:23 PM
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Posts: 264
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Monday nba plays

We had no plays on Sunday.....today there is a full slate of nba and nhl games... again I see nothing in the nhl. We started the season with plays every day in the nhl with a nice return on investment...but the lines have become very solid...so expect only 1 or 2 plays a week in the nhl.

In the nba today...3 plays

Milw +5.5 -110
Memphis +9.5 -110
Golden state under 209.5 -110

Lines avail at 6:58 am pst

Good Luck

RickJ


Record to date

mlb
Sides: 17- 14 +6.83
o/u 3-8-1 -5.09
ncaafb
Sides 36-27-1 +9.14
o/u 11-12 -1.63
nfl
Sides 26-9-1 +16.66
o/u 7-4 +2.83
nhl
sides 28-25 +8.31
Nba
Side 53-43-1 +8.12
o/u 18-10 +7.73

Oct: 132 bets + 11.63 units +8.81% Return
Nov: 105 bets + 25.19 units +24.0% Return
Dec: 94 bets + 1.99 units +2.11% Return
Jan: 26 bets + 11.92 units +45.85% Return
Total 357 Bets + 50.73 units +14.21% Return
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  #28 (permalink)  
Old 01-16-2007, 01:59 PM
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Posts: 264
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tuesday nhl plays

Monday was a good day. We had 3 plays...the 2 nba sides split...with milw winning outright as a big dog and Memphis unable to cover. Our total goldenstate under was a winner. So a +.90 unit day.

Today nothing in the nba...but a rare nhl play...

Ny Islanders +140

Good Luck

RickJ


Record to date:

mlb
Sides: 17- 14 +6.83
o/u 3-8-1 -5.09
ncaafb
Sides 36-27-1 +9.14
o/u 11-12 -1.63
nfl
Sides 26-9-1 +16.66
o/u 7-4 +2.83
nhl
sides 28-25 +8.31
Nba
Side 54-44-1 +8.02
o/u 19-10 +8.73

Oct: 132 bets + 11.63 units +8.81% Return
Nov: 105 bets + 25.19 units +24.0% Return
Dec: 94 bets + 1.99 units +2.11% Return
Jan: 29 bets + 12.82 units +44.21% Return
Total 360 Bets + 51.63 units +14.34% Return
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  #29 (permalink)  
Old 01-17-2007, 01:34 PM
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wedn Nba plays

Tues we lost 1 unit...with the islanders losing in the nhl 5-2.

Today nothing in the nhl...but 3 plays in the nba.

Things are settling down now and I suspect we will only have around 50-60 plays a month as opposed to around 100 when ncaafb and nfl is in full swing. But Baseball is just a few months away and things should pick up then.

Sacramento +4.5 -110
Milwaukee +5 -110
Houston +5.5 -110

Good Luck

RickJ




Record to date:

mlb
Sides: 17- 14 +6.83
o/u 3-8-1 -5.09
ncaafb
Sides 36-27-1 +9.14
o/u 11-12 -1.63
nfl
Sides 26-9-1 +16.66
o/u 7-4 +2.83
nhl
sides 28-26 +7.31
Nba
Side 54-44-1 +8.02
o/u 19-10 +8.73

Oct: 132 bets + 11.63 units +8.81% Return
Nov: 105 bets + 25.19 units +24.0% Return
Dec: 94 bets + 1.99 units +2.11% Return
Jan: 30 bets + 11.82 units +39.40% Return
Total 361 Bets + 50.63 units +14.02% Return
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  #30 (permalink)  
Old 01-19-2007, 03:10 PM
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Posts: 264
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friday nba plays

wedn we had an 0-3 day For -3.30 units. All games were close until the 4 th quarter but none of the 3 teams could hang on and cover.

Also I had the rather unpleasant experience of someone messaging me on yahoo complaining. He was rather insulting. So....let me say a few things before I post the plays.

1. This method I am using has been applied only over 364 bets. This is not conclusive to the long run profitablility of this method. Its encouraging but in no way a guarantee making money.

2. If you lose money betting these plays if you need to blame someone for your loss the only one you have to blame is yourself. You elected to make these bets.

3. If you dont have a good money management strategy in place you in all probability will lose all your money because of variance.

4. So far the biggest drop has been around 5 units. That is consistent with a method that has a 13 percent return...So this is also encouraging....but..... at some point I would expect a 15 to 20 unit drawdown.....if you are betting an amount that this would cause you a problem....you are betting too much.

and finally 5. There are very few people that are equipped financially and psychologically to handle the ups and downs of gambling on a daily basis. If your not a professional every instinct you have will attempt and probably will sabotage your success. Human nature runs completely contrary to being a successful professional gambler.

If this discourages you from following these plays then I have accomplished what I have intended to accomplish. For those of you that understand all of the above...good luck!

RickJ



Only 1 play today in the nba that I can see...also looks like no plays again in the nfl this weekend. Also I am now on betcascade..so my plays are all -105. If your laying -110 you can expect about 2 percent less return.

Washington/orlando under 205.5 -105


Record to date:

mlb
Sides: 17- 14 +6.83
o/u 3-8-1 -5.09
ncaafb
Sides 36-27-1 +9.14
o/u 11-12 -1.63
nfl
Sides 26-9-1 +16.66
o/u 7-4 +2.83
nhl
sides 28-26 +7.31
Nba
Side 54-47-1 +4.72
o/u 19-10 +8.73

Oct: 132 bets + 11.63 units +8.81% Return
Nov: 105 bets + 25.19 units +24.0% Return
Dec: 94 bets + 1.99 units +2.11% Return
Jan: 33 bets + 8.52 units +25.82% Return
Total 364 Bets + 47.33 units +13.00% Return
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